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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+2.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+1.00vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+1.57vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.64-0.18vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.38-0.75vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-1.46vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-2.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.6Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.0University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.82Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.25Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.54Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.23Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 18.4% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 8.6% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 24.3% | 21.7% | 18.7% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% |
| Celia Houston | 9.6% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 18.0% | 22.2% |
| Grant Adam | 14.8% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 9.9% |
| Luke Hosek | 10.2% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 16.6% |
| Carter Brock | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 23.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.6% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 17.0% | 17.5% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.