Race 11B

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Mullins 17.5% 15.9% 13.9% 15.1% 11.7% 9.6% 8.8% 3.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 7.3% 10.7% 8.8% 9.6% 11.7% 11.9% 12.7% 11.8% 9.3% 4.7% 1.5% 0.0%
John Duncan 4.8% 4.2% 4.0% 5.9% 6.6% 7.6% 9.1% 12.7% 17.0% 19.7% 6.7% 1.7%
Jessica Claflin 8.8% 11.5% 12.4% 11.1% 11.9% 11.4% 10.2% 9.5% 8.3% 4.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Trevor Burd 11.9% 12.3% 12.9% 11.0% 12.5% 11.5% 8.7% 8.1% 6.4% 4.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Marlena Fauer 22.0% 17.6% 16.5% 13.6% 11.1% 7.6% 6.5% 3.0% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
T. Max Bulger 9.3% 8.0% 9.2% 10.4% 9.6% 12.3% 11.0% 12.2% 10.6% 4.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Robert Lippincott 7.4% 8.2% 7.7% 8.0% 9.5% 10.1% 12.0% 13.2% 13.0% 7.5% 3.2% 0.2%
Tom Peabody 7.9% 7.8% 10.8% 10.3% 11.7% 10.6% 12.4% 13.3% 9.0% 5.0% 1.2% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 4.4% 5.9% 8.5% 14.1% 26.6% 21.6% 6.4%
Alan Sutton 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.6% 0.7% 1.9% 3.1% 7.2% 22.4% 61.3%
Andrew Smith 0.6% 0.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.2% 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 5.0% 14.5% 39.7% 30.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.