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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.38+3.12vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.66+1.72vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.64+0.77vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.18+0.61vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.31-0.63vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.07-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.77Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
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4.61Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.37Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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2.88University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Hosek | 13.1% | 13.5% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 15.2% |
| Matthew Wallace | 15.2% | 15.6% | 17.7% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 8.9% |
| Grant Adam | 16.2% | 15.6% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 9.4% |
| Carter Brock | 9.2% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 17.7% | 23.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.0% | 11.3% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 17.7% | 18.7% |
| Celia Houston | 9.1% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 22.0% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 27.2% | 21.5% | 16.8% | 16.9% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.