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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+2.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.64+1.76vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.38+1.22vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+0.56vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18-0.37vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.07-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.76Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
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4.22Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
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4.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.33Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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2.88University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 18.2% | 16.3% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 9.7% |
| Grant Adam | 14.8% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 15.1% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% |
| Luke Hosek | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 15.2% |
| Celia Houston | 9.7% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 16.5% | 18.9% | 21.0% |
| Carter Brock | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 22.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.2% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 18.6% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 26.4% | 22.7% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.