← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.66+2.63vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University1.38+2.17vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University1.18+1.55vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island2.07-0.93vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.64-1.18vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-1.46vs Predicted
-
7Salve Regina University1.31-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.63Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
-
4.17Roger Williams University1.380.1%1st Place
-
4.55Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
-
3.07University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
-
3.82Brown University1.640.1%1st Place
-
4.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
-
4.22Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 18.6% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% |
| Luke Hosek | 11.3% | 12.9% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.1% |
| Carter Brock | 9.7% | 9.7% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 17.2% | 22.3% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 24.5% | 19.8% | 18.8% | 14.0% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 4.1% |
| Grant Adam | 13.9% | 17.3% | 16.7% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% |
| Celia Houston | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 15.7% | 23.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.5% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 15.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.