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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+2.69vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.07+1.07vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+1.66vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.88-0.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.46-0.82vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-1.63vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.07University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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4.66Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.48Brown University1.880.2%1st Place
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4.18Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.37Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 17.3% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 8.9% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 23.3% | 21.2% | 17.9% | 16.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 4.3% |
| Carter Brock | 9.0% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 18.0% | 24.0% |
| Severin Gramm | 18.2% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 16.5% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 6.2% |
| Emmett Nevel | 10.4% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 15.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 15.3% | 14.5% | 16.9% | 19.1% |
| Celia Houston | 10.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 17.5% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.