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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+2.71vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.88+1.42vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.18+1.66vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+0.44vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University1.46-0.80vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-1.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.07-4.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.71Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.42Brown University1.880.2%1st Place
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4.66Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.44Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.2Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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2.96University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 16.7% | 16.6% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.2% |
| Severin Gramm | 17.9% | 19.1% | 18.9% | 15.0% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 7.0% |
| Carter Brock | 9.0% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.3% | 19.7% | 22.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.1% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 18.5% |
| Emmett Nevel | 10.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 15.8% |
| Celia Houston | 9.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 18.3% | 23.7% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 26.0% | 20.4% | 17.6% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.