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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.07+2.04vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.46+2.11vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+1.60vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.88-0.54vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.66-1.12vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18-1.37vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.31-2.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04University of Rhode Island2.070.3%1st Place
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4.11Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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4.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.46Brown University1.880.2%1st Place
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3.88Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.63Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.29Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Rosenberg | 26.6% | 19.6% | 17.3% | 14.2% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.9% |
| Emmett Nevel | 11.1% | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.9% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 13.3% |
| Celia Houston | 9.1% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 15.6% | 17.6% | 22.8% |
| Severin Gramm | 18.7% | 17.3% | 17.2% | 16.3% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 6.3% |
| Matthew Wallace | 13.3% | 16.2% | 16.3% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.9% | 11.5% |
| Carter Brock | 9.2% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 24.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 14.1% | 16.2% | 17.5% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.