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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.46+3.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.66+1.80vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.88+0.44vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University1.31+0.47vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.07-2.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.06Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
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3.8Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.44Brown University1.880.2%1st Place
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4.47Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.68Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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3.12University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emmett Nevel | 13.7% | 13.7% | 13.0% | 15.9% | 15.4% | 13.2% | 15.1% |
| Matthew Wallace | 15.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% | 15.3% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 10.1% |
| Severin Gramm | 17.6% | 18.9% | 18.3% | 15.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 6.5% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.3% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 20.4% |
| Carter Brock | 8.0% | 9.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 24.2% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 24.2% | 18.8% | 18.9% | 14.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 4.4% |
| Celia Houston | 10.6% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.