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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+2.69vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.88+1.39vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.19+1.62vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.07-0.83vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University1.18-0.31vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31-1.59vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.46-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Tufts University1.660.2%1st Place
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3.39Brown University1.880.2%1st Place
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4.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.190.1%1st Place
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3.17University of Rhode Island2.070.2%1st Place
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4.69Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
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4.41Salve Regina University1.310.1%1st Place
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4.03Roger Williams University1.460.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 17.2% | 16.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 12.1% | 9.8% |
| Severin Gramm | 18.9% | 18.5% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% |
| Celia Houston | 9.1% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 18.1% | 22.8% |
| Ben Rosenberg | 22.2% | 19.3% | 19.5% | 15.1% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 4.0% |
| Carter Brock | 7.5% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 24.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.1% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 20.5% |
| Emmett Nevel | 14.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 14.9% | 15.9% | 17.5% | 11.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.