Race 1A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Evan Spalding 10.0% 10.5% 12.1% 13.8% 15.2% 11.3% 10.8% 7.8% 4.1% 2.6% 1.7% 0.1%
Payne Donaldson 21.3% 20.8% 18.7% 14.3% 9.1% 8.2% 4.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick McCarron 6.5% 5.4% 6.1% 9.1% 9.2% 11.2% 12.2% 13.2% 12.7% 8.3% 4.8% 1.3%
George Hambleton 4.3% 5.5% 7.5% 11.0% 11.3% 11.5% 11.6% 11.0% 12.4% 8.0% 4.2% 1.7%
Aiden Keister 2.5% 4.4% 3.9% 6.0% 6.4% 7.6% 10.9% 11.2% 11.9% 14.5% 13.0% 7.7%
Rayne Duff 27.8% 24.3% 16.7% 12.3% 8.9% 5.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick York 4.2% 4.5% 5.5% 5.5% 9.2% 9.4% 9.3% 11.8% 12.9% 12.3% 10.2% 5.2%
Dax Thompson 15.2% 14.7% 17.0% 14.5% 11.0% 10.7% 7.8% 4.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Gus Schoenbucher 1.3% 2.4% 2.9% 3.5% 4.5% 7.1% 8.7% 9.8% 13.3% 14.6% 20.0% 11.9%
Ryan Magill 2.5% 2.9% 4.1% 3.7% 4.7% 6.4% 8.2% 11.8% 13.1% 14.0% 18.4% 10.2%
Kristin Hess 3.5% 3.6% 4.9% 4.8% 8.2% 9.1% 11.0% 12.5% 11.1% 15.7% 9.6% 6.0%
Ellary Boyd 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 1.5% 2.3% 2.3% 2.5% 3.1% 4.8% 7.8% 17.3% 55.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.