Race 2A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 27.1% 23.6% 19.5% 12.6% 8.0% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 21.4% 20.4% 17.2% 15.2% 10.8% 7.6% 3.9% 2.6% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Dax Thompson 15.6% 13.6% 16.7% 12.0% 13.3% 11.1% 9.3% 5.1% 2.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 8.3% 14.4% 11.5% 14.4% 12.5% 10.9% 11.3% 8.5% 4.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4%
George Hambleton 6.0% 5.0% 8.5% 9.2% 9.1% 12.1% 12.5% 10.3% 10.8% 8.4% 6.2% 1.9%
Ryan Magill 2.3% 2.6% 3.2% 4.6% 4.8% 6.6% 7.8% 9.8% 12.2% 16.5% 18.1% 11.5%
Patrick York 4.2% 4.0% 4.6% 7.4% 7.4% 9.6% 9.8% 12.1% 13.4% 12.1% 10.6% 4.8%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.0% 2.6% 3.4% 3.8% 5.4% 5.4% 7.9% 9.3% 10.4% 15.2% 21.7% 12.9%
Kristin Hess 3.5% 3.3% 4.8% 5.6% 9.5% 9.8% 10.9% 14.4% 13.7% 11.6% 9.3% 3.6%
Patrick McCarron 5.9% 6.9% 6.9% 8.6% 9.2% 11.8% 11.9% 13.1% 10.3% 9.1% 4.9% 1.4%
Aiden Keister 2.9% 2.9% 2.9% 5.6% 7.1% 8.1% 9.0% 11.5% 14.0% 16.3% 12.7% 7.0%
Ellary Boyd 0.8% 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 2.9% 1.9% 3.4% 2.5% 6.6% 7.6% 15.3% 56.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.