Race 12B

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Ryan Mullins 16.9% 16.4% 14.6% 14.8% 11.8% 10.9% 5.7% 5.3% 2.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 11.2% 11.5% 13.4% 10.8% 13.9% 10.6% 9.9% 10.4% 4.7% 3.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Robert Lippincott 7.8% 6.3% 8.0% 8.1% 8.0% 9.9% 13.1% 14.1% 13.4% 8.9% 2.2% 0.2%
Jessica Claflin 8.8% 11.6% 11.8% 11.8% 11.5% 12.1% 11.2% 8.7% 7.6% 3.6% 1.2% 0.1%
T. Max Bulger 7.8% 9.3% 8.5% 9.6% 12.1% 11.0% 11.4% 12.6% 9.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.0%
John Duncan 4.1% 3.9% 5.0% 6.9% 5.6% 7.1% 10.6% 10.7% 19.7% 18.1% 7.0% 1.3%
Marlena Fauer 23.3% 19.4% 14.5% 12.6% 10.5% 9.4% 5.4% 3.1% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 9.9% 10.4% 9.0% 10.2% 10.1% 11.5% 11.3% 11.1% 9.5% 4.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Tom Peabody 7.1% 7.7% 11.0% 10.6% 11.8% 12.6% 12.1% 11.1% 9.4% 5.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Zachary O'Brien 1.9% 2.4% 2.7% 3.2% 3.0% 3.0% 6.3% 8.4% 14.5% 27.4% 21.5% 5.7%
Andrew Smith 0.9% 0.5% 1.1% 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.6% 3.0% 5.6% 12.5% 39.3% 32.5%
Alan Sutton 0.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.4% 1.5% 3.2% 7.6% 23.0% 60.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.