Race 3A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 26.6% 22.8% 19.4% 12.6% 9.2% 4.7% 2.4% 1.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 9.3% 11.6% 13.5% 13.8% 11.7% 12.6% 11.1% 8.8% 4.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1%
Payne Donaldson 22.8% 20.8% 17.6% 13.1% 10.7% 7.5% 4.7% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Patrick McCarron 4.2% 5.8% 8.2% 8.9% 11.0% 10.5% 13.0% 12.3% 10.6% 8.6% 5.2% 1.7%
Aiden Keister 2.8% 3.7% 4.7% 5.4% 7.8% 7.0% 10.4% 10.5% 13.5% 13.9% 13.5% 6.8%
Ryan Magill 2.6% 2.5% 2.5% 4.7% 5.7% 5.9% 7.8% 9.3% 12.2% 16.0% 19.9% 10.9%
Patrick York 4.1% 4.3% 4.3% 7.3% 7.7% 9.5% 10.3% 12.2% 12.1% 13.1% 10.5% 4.6%
Dax Thompson 15.9% 15.8% 14.1% 13.6% 12.6% 11.2% 6.8% 5.5% 2.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 3.3% 3.4% 4.4% 7.3% 8.7% 10.1% 11.4% 12.2% 14.5% 11.4% 10.1% 3.2%
George Hambleton 5.6% 6.2% 8.1% 8.6% 9.2% 12.6% 11.4% 13.3% 10.8% 8.1% 4.9% 1.2%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.1% 2.3% 2.4% 3.2% 3.7% 6.7% 7.3% 8.8% 13.7% 15.5% 19.3% 15.0%
Ellary Boyd 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 1.7% 3.4% 3.7% 5.3% 8.9% 14.7% 56.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.