Race 4A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 27.5% 23.0% 18.5% 12.8% 8.7% 4.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 9.8% 10.3% 14.8% 12.7% 12.6% 12.4% 10.8% 8.6% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Dax Thompson 15.0% 15.2% 15.0% 14.7% 12.9% 9.9% 8.3% 5.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
George Hambleton 4.1% 6.4% 7.2% 9.9% 12.0% 10.9% 12.2% 11.3% 10.5% 9.4% 4.5% 1.6%
Payne Donaldson 22.3% 21.6% 16.1% 15.0% 9.5% 6.3% 4.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick McCarron 5.3% 7.2% 6.7% 7.5% 10.2% 12.2% 12.2% 13.2% 10.3% 8.5% 4.5% 2.2%
Kristin Hess 4.2% 4.7% 5.2% 5.9% 8.2% 9.5% 10.1% 11.5% 13.4% 11.6% 10.8% 4.9%
Aiden Keister 3.7% 3.4% 4.2% 5.7% 7.0% 8.3% 9.9% 12.2% 12.1% 14.0% 12.4% 7.1%
Ryan Magill 2.0% 1.8% 3.2% 3.8% 5.5% 8.5% 8.6% 10.9% 13.6% 15.7% 17.4% 9.0%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.2% 2.3% 4.0% 3.1% 5.2% 5.0% 7.3% 8.5% 14.1% 14.2% 21.0% 13.1%
Patrick York 3.5% 2.9% 4.4% 6.9% 6.5% 9.6% 10.4% 11.7% 12.3% 13.9% 12.3% 5.6%
Ellary Boyd 0.4% 1.2% 0.7% 2.0% 1.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.1% 4.9% 8.4% 15.9% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.