Race 5A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 26.6% 23.2% 20.6% 11.7% 8.5% 5.0% 2.1% 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Payne Donaldson 22.2% 20.0% 17.4% 14.0% 11.2% 7.5% 4.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Dax Thompson 14.7% 14.2% 15.8% 15.2% 13.3% 10.5% 7.8% 4.5% 3.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Aiden Keister 2.1% 4.5% 2.5% 6.0% 7.6% 8.6% 10.8% 12.0% 10.5% 14.6% 14.5% 6.3%
Evan Spalding 10.4% 11.5% 11.8% 16.0% 10.2% 12.2% 10.3% 7.2% 5.7% 2.7% 1.9% 0.1%
George Hambleton 5.6% 6.8% 7.0% 7.2% 10.6% 11.8% 13.2% 12.8% 9.9% 8.3% 4.8% 2.0%
Patrick York 4.4% 4.1% 5.7% 5.4% 8.6% 8.7% 11.2% 10.9% 13.0% 11.9% 11.1% 5.0%
Kristin Hess 4.1% 4.6% 4.0% 7.0% 7.9% 9.3% 10.6% 11.4% 14.1% 12.4% 9.0% 5.6%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.0% 2.0% 2.6% 3.7% 4.7% 6.5% 8.4% 10.3% 12.0% 17.3% 19.0% 11.5%
Ryan Magill 2.5% 2.9% 4.4% 3.4% 4.9% 7.2% 7.2% 9.8% 13.5% 15.6% 17.9% 10.7%
Patrick McCarron 4.9% 5.1% 7.5% 8.2% 11.0% 10.1% 11.3% 14.2% 12.0% 7.3% 5.6% 2.8%
Ellary Boyd 0.5% 1.1% 0.7% 2.2% 1.5% 2.6% 2.7% 3.2% 5.0% 8.6% 15.9% 56.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.