Race 6A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 25.5% 23.0% 20.5% 13.2% 8.4% 4.8% 2.1% 1.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
George Hambleton 5.3% 4.5% 8.6% 9.9% 9.2% 11.8% 13.8% 11.6% 10.0% 7.9% 6.4% 1.0%
Payne Donaldson 21.9% 20.9% 17.9% 14.0% 11.5% 7.2% 3.9% 1.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 9.8% 11.9% 11.0% 14.5% 14.7% 11.8% 8.3% 8.9% 5.1% 3.2% 0.5% 0.3%
Dax Thompson 14.4% 16.7% 13.8% 14.3% 13.5% 9.9% 7.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2%
Ellary Boyd 1.0% 0.6% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 2.8% 4.3% 4.4% 9.0% 13.5% 57.5%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.5% 2.6% 4.1% 2.9% 5.7% 6.2% 7.6% 8.2% 13.5% 14.8% 18.9% 13.0%
Patrick McCarron 7.0% 5.4% 8.1% 8.3% 10.0% 9.8% 12.7% 12.8% 11.0% 8.9% 3.8% 2.2%
Aiden Keister 2.7% 2.7% 3.9% 5.9% 7.1% 9.7% 10.7% 11.3% 15.1% 13.2% 13.1% 4.6%
Patrick York 4.3% 4.9% 3.9% 5.5% 7.9% 9.3% 9.8% 13.3% 11.7% 13.1% 12.3% 4.0%
Kristin Hess 3.5% 3.5% 3.6% 7.5% 6.6% 8.8% 12.4% 10.9% 13.0% 12.5% 12.8% 4.9%
Ryan Magill 2.1% 3.3% 3.4% 2.8% 3.8% 7.8% 8.9% 10.2% 11.4% 15.6% 18.4% 12.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.