Race 7A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 27.2% 22.9% 17.9% 13.6% 8.8% 5.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 9.5% 10.5% 13.8% 13.7% 13.2% 11.5% 11.7% 7.7% 4.6% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0%
Dax Thompson 14.2% 15.3% 15.2% 15.4% 13.4% 11.2% 7.2% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Ellary Boyd 0.6% 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 2.1% 1.9% 2.6% 4.0% 5.8% 9.5% 15.6% 55.4%
Payne Donaldson 22.3% 21.0% 16.8% 14.7% 10.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 3.4% 4.3% 5.9% 6.0% 6.8% 7.8% 12.1% 11.9% 13.9% 12.7% 10.3% 4.9%
Patrick McCarron 6.1% 6.8% 7.4% 8.6% 11.2% 11.8% 10.1% 12.2% 11.1% 8.7% 4.3% 1.7%
Aiden Keister 3.5% 3.9% 4.2% 5.5% 7.8% 8.7% 10.2% 8.9% 13.4% 14.1% 12.5% 7.3%
Gus Schoenbucher 1.9% 1.9% 2.6% 3.8% 3.9% 7.4% 8.2% 10.8% 13.2% 14.2% 19.0% 13.1%
Patrick York 4.1% 4.1% 5.4% 5.6% 7.7% 9.6% 10.2% 13.7% 11.1% 12.7% 11.3% 4.5%
George Hambleton 5.2% 5.2% 6.9% 9.4% 9.8% 11.4% 11.7% 12.3% 11.8% 8.0% 6.2% 2.1%
Ryan Magill 2.0% 3.6% 3.2% 2.4% 4.9% 7.1% 9.3% 10.5% 10.9% 15.8% 19.3% 11.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.