Race 8A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Payne Donaldson 21.5% 17.7% 19.6% 16.8% 10.0% 6.2% 4.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 26.1% 26.1% 16.6% 11.7% 9.4% 5.6% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Dax Thompson 15.4% 14.2% 16.4% 13.3% 13.1% 11.5% 9.1% 3.9% 1.6% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0%
Patrick McCarron 4.1% 6.7% 7.2% 9.7% 10.1% 12.1% 12.1% 13.6% 9.3% 9.7% 4.1% 1.3%
Aiden Keister 2.8% 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 8.5% 7.3% 10.9% 11.1% 13.2% 13.7% 13.4% 5.7%
Kristin Hess 3.5% 4.1% 5.4% 7.0% 7.2% 8.6% 8.9% 14.1% 14.2% 12.3% 10.5% 4.2%
Gerrit Bittmann 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 3.3% 3.4% 6.1% 6.5% 9.0% 11.6% 15.2% 20.2% 17.8%
Patrick York 4.3% 4.2% 6.0% 5.1% 8.2% 9.6% 10.6% 11.8% 12.1% 13.3% 10.2% 4.6%
Gus Schoenbucher 2.2% 2.0% 2.3% 3.1% 5.6% 7.6% 8.3% 9.6% 14.6% 15.3% 17.4% 12.0%
Evan Spalding 10.9% 12.3% 12.1% 13.3% 13.1% 12.1% 10.1% 7.7% 5.0% 2.3% 1.0% 0.1%
Ellary Boyd 1.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.3% 1.4% 2.3% 3.3% 3.0% 6.0% 8.2% 19.0% 52.6%
George Hambleton 5.8% 5.8% 6.6% 10.3% 10.0% 11.0% 13.0% 12.3% 11.3% 8.9% 3.3% 1.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.