Race 9A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Payne Donaldson 21.2% 18.9% 17.9% 17.6% 9.1% 7.2% 4.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Rayne Duff 28.1% 23.2% 17.8% 11.4% 7.9% 6.8% 3.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Spalding 11.3% 10.2% 13.6% 12.3% 12.9% 13.5% 10.7% 7.0% 5.3% 2.1% 1.1% 0.0%
George Hambleton 4.4% 6.5% 6.6% 9.9% 11.5% 12.0% 12.1% 11.3% 8.6% 8.9% 6.8% 1.4%
Dax Thompson 14.6% 16.1% 14.3% 14.9% 12.8% 9.4% 7.6% 6.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.0%
Kristin Hess 3.5% 4.2% 5.9% 5.6% 7.4% 7.8% 11.3% 11.7% 13.4% 14.2% 10.6% 4.4%
Patrick McCarron 5.7% 7.2% 7.6% 8.3% 11.7% 10.1% 11.6% 13.2% 9.2% 8.6% 5.4% 1.4%
Patrick York 4.0% 4.2% 5.3% 5.7% 8.7% 8.5% 9.8% 12.7% 12.3% 13.3% 10.0% 5.5%
Aiden Keister 2.9% 3.5% 3.7% 5.1% 7.2% 10.1% 10.7% 11.6% 14.1% 12.5% 13.7% 4.9%
Ellary Boyd 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 2.0% 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 3.0% 6.8% 8.8% 14.6% 54.7%
Ryan Magill 2.4% 1.9% 3.0% 4.4% 4.8% 6.3% 8.6% 9.2% 13.7% 16.3% 16.7% 12.7%
Gus Schoenbucher 1.4% 3.3% 2.9% 2.8% 3.7% 6.1% 6.8% 11.1% 12.9% 13.6% 20.4% 15.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.