Race 10A

west-li-sound-fleet-race-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Rayne Duff 26.9% 22.2% 19.4% 12.6% 8.4% 5.6% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick McCarron 5.4% 4.8% 7.7% 8.2% 11.9% 11.5% 11.7% 11.9% 10.9% 9.2% 4.7% 2.1%
Dax Thompson 14.3% 15.6% 14.6% 14.2% 13.3% 12.2% 7.0% 4.9% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Gus Schoenbucher 1.5% 2.8% 2.2% 3.3% 5.6% 5.6% 8.8% 8.9% 12.0% 13.7% 21.2% 14.4%
Payne Donaldson 22.3% 21.3% 17.2% 13.0% 10.9% 6.2% 5.1% 2.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Patrick York 3.4% 4.6% 4.8% 6.2% 6.2% 8.6% 9.4% 13.5% 13.5% 13.9% 11.1% 4.8%
Evan Spalding 11.4% 11.7% 13.5% 13.6% 11.8% 11.5% 9.6% 7.8% 4.9% 2.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Ryan Magill 2.1% 3.3% 4.1% 3.4% 5.4% 6.3% 9.5% 9.5% 12.5% 14.1% 19.1% 10.7%
George Hambleton 5.2% 5.6% 6.7% 11.8% 11.6% 12.3% 13.2% 11.2% 9.3% 8.3% 3.8% 1.0%
Aiden Keister 3.5% 3.6% 4.6% 5.5% 6.0% 8.5% 10.4% 12.1% 12.8% 15.4% 11.1% 6.5%
Kristin Hess 3.5% 3.4% 4.3% 6.4% 7.2% 9.0% 11.1% 12.3% 14.5% 12.1% 11.4% 4.8%
Ellary Boyd 0.5% 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 1.7% 2.7% 1.8% 3.8% 5.5% 8.6% 16.3% 55.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.