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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+0.94vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62+3.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.15+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80+3.89vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+2.20vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57+0.34vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.73-3.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-4.83vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.01-3.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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8.89University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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7.34Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.82University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.26University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 49.1% | 26.2% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 0.5% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 13.6% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 9.8% | 15.2% | 17.1% | 19.3% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Althea White | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 11.3% | 19.5% | 55.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 31.6% | 29.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 13.8% | 25.0% | 24.2% | 10.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.1% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 7.5% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Molly Coghlin | 9.7% | 15.6% | 16.3% | 16.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 18.7% | 18.4% | 13.6% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.