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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles1.06+3.17vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.62-0.05vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.88vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.15-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.62-1.00vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University-0.57+0.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80+0.93vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-0.71vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego0.01-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.17University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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1.95Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
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4.19University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.0University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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7.33Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.93University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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6.25University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marianna Shand | 11.4% | 14.5% | 16.8% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 46.9% | 27.4% | 15.6% | 6.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.2% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 17.6% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 6.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 16.0% | 13.2% | 8.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.1% | 14.6% | 18.0% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 14.6% | 9.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 10.2% | 14.3% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 11.2% |
| Althea White | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 10.4% | 21.6% | 54.0% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 16.2% | 32.4% | 29.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 17.2% | 20.2% | 12.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.