Race 13B

admiral-alymer

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Robert Lippincott 5.9% 6.4% 7.6% 9.3% 8.5% 9.5% 12.4% 13.5% 14.6% 9.3% 2.5% 0.5%
T. Max Bulger 7.5% 7.9% 10.1% 9.3% 10.1% 13.2% 12.2% 12.9% 9.4% 6.0% 1.4% 0.0%
Timothy Scanlon 9.5% 8.6% 9.0% 10.3% 10.2% 12.6% 12.3% 12.2% 8.9% 4.8% 1.5% 0.1%
Marlena Fauer 20.9% 20.7% 15.1% 12.8% 11.9% 8.5% 4.4% 3.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Trevor Burd 12.3% 10.8% 12.5% 13.2% 12.1% 10.0% 10.5% 8.0% 5.5% 4.2% 0.9% 0.0%
Tom Peabody 8.1% 8.6% 9.2% 8.3% 11.9% 10.2% 12.4% 12.1% 11.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.1%
Ryan Mullins 19.9% 16.6% 14.7% 13.0% 11.0% 9.7% 7.2% 4.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
John Duncan 4.0% 5.5% 4.3% 5.5% 6.9% 8.8% 9.4% 10.6% 19.1% 17.1% 7.5% 1.3%
Jessica Claflin 8.8% 10.8% 13.7% 13.8% 12.5% 11.7% 10.5% 9.2% 5.6% 2.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Zachary O'Brien 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.9% 3.4% 6.0% 9.5% 13.6% 26.8% 21.2% 6.5%
Alan Sutton 0.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.8% 1.2% 3.2% 7.7% 22.5% 61.1%
Andrew Smith 0.6% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 2.1% 1.9% 2.7% 4.9% 13.9% 39.9% 30.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.