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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+3.79vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+2.12vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.27vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.62-2.08vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+0.07vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.01-0.74vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.57-0.78vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.03vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.79University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.12University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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1.92Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
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5.07University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.1University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.26University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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7.22Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.29Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.0% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.2% | 14.6% | 17.7% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.4% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 47.0% | 29.3% | 14.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.1% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.9% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.6% | 14.0% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 15.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.7% | 3.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 19.6% | 11.8% | 2.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 24.0% | 23.7% | 10.3% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 21.5% | 55.6% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 31.8% | 29.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.