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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.62+3.06vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.57+4.31vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.86vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.06-0.84vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.15-1.95vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.01-0.75vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-3.89vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.05vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
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5.06University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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7.31Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.16University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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4.05University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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8.95University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 48.3% | 27.0% | 12.9% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 0.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 13.8% | 24.3% | 22.8% | 12.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.6% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Marianna Shand | 11.4% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 16.7% | 15.7% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.5% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 18.4% | 11.3% | 3.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 9.7% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 16.9% | 15.8% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Althea White | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 21.1% | 55.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 15.0% | 33.9% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.