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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.15+3.03vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.01+4.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.20vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+0.05vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.62-4.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.73-2.15vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.57-0.79vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.03vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-1.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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6.25University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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4.18University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.2University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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1.93Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
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4.85University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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7.21Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.97University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
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8.32Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.9% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 13.1% | 13.1% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 20.3% | 19.3% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.6% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.0% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 0.7% |
| Stephanie Houck | 47.8% | 26.9% | 15.3% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 12.0% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 14.1% | 24.1% | 22.5% | 10.3% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 10.7% | 21.3% | 55.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 5.2% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 33.6% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.