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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Berkeley0.73+3.78vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+2.10vs Predicted
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3University of Washington0.62+2.13vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.57+3.28vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.62-3.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.89vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.06-2.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.01-1.80vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-0.69vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.78University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.1University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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5.13University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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7.28Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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1.9Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
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4.11University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.23University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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6.2University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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8.31Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.96University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.8% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 13.9% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.0% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 11.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 5.7% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.8% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 9.6% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 24.6% | 21.8% | 10.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 49.9% | 26.1% | 14.0% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.0% | 14.1% | 18.3% | 17.6% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.7% | 4.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 3.1% |
| Macy Rowe | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 16.2% | 33.0% | 29.3% |
| Althea White | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 9.6% | 22.1% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.