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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+0.96vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.73+2.86vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.06+1.27vs Predicted
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4University of Washington0.62+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.15-0.98vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-1.94vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.01-0.73vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.57-0.78vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26-0.70vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-1.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
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4.86University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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4.27University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington0.620.0%1st Place
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4.02University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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4.06University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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6.27University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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7.22Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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8.99University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 48.4% | 26.8% | 12.5% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.6% | 14.0% | 14.0% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 13.5% | 10.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Erin Pamplin | 4.8% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.4% | 15.4% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 11.1% | 15.6% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 20.4% | 19.2% | 11.9% | 2.8% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 23.9% | 21.9% | 11.5% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 15.1% | 33.5% | 28.8% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 22.4% | 55.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.