← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.62+0.96vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+2.16vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.15+1.09vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.24vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley0.73-0.19vs Predicted
-
6University of Washington0.62-1.01vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego0.01-0.73vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+0.25vs Predicted
-
9Western Washington University-0.57-1.72vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
-
4.16University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
-
4.09University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.24University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
4.81University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
-
4.99University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
-
6.27University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.25Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
-
7.28Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
8.96University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 48.8% | 26.3% | 12.5% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.3% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 11.6% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.2% | 14.6% | 16.4% | 15.9% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.6% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Svenja Leonard | 2.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 19.0% | 11.9% | 3.7% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 15.0% | 31.7% | 29.5% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 24.0% | 23.4% | 10.4% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 9.5% | 22.1% | 54.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.