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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.62+0.96vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.15+2.09vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara1.10+1.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.06+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of Washington0.62+0.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.73-1.23vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+1.40vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego0.01-1.82vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.57-1.73vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
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4.09University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
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4.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
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4.22University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
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5.01University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
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4.77University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
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8.4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
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6.18University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
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7.27Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 48.5% | 25.6% | 14.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 10.9% | 14.5% | 17.7% | 16.1% | 15.2% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 10.9% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 9.7% | 4.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Marianna Shand | 8.3% | 15.8% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 14.6% | 9.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 8.0% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 16.2% | 33.0% | 30.6% |
| Svenja Leonard | 3.2% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 19.3% | 19.6% | 10.3% | 3.4% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 22.2% | 24.1% | 10.5% |
| Althea White | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 10.0% | 23.3% | 53.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.