← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Stanford University2.62+0.96vs Predicted
-
2University of California at Los Angeles1.06+2.21vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii1.15+1.09vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Berkeley0.73+0.83vs Predicted
-
5University of Washington0.620.00vs Predicted
-
6University of California at San Diego0.01+0.18vs Predicted
-
7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.26+1.38vs Predicted
-
8Western Washington University-0.57-0.80vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Santa Cruz-1.80-0.06vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara1.10-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.96Stanford University2.620.5%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Los Angeles1.060.1%1st Place
-
4.09University of Hawaii1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.83University of California at Berkeley0.730.1%1st Place
-
5.0University of Washington0.620.1%1st Place
-
6.18University of California at San Diego0.010.0%1st Place
-
8.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.260.0%1st Place
-
7.2Western Washington University-0.570.0%1st Place
-
8.94University of California at Santa Cruz-1.800.0%1st Place
-
4.21University of California at Santa Barbara1.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Houck | 48.6% | 26.0% | 14.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marianna Shand | 10.3% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Mercy Tangredi | 11.1% | 15.0% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 14.7% | 14.6% | 8.6% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Kingsley Ehrich | 5.8% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 14.9% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Erin Pamplin | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 13.3% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Svenja Leonard | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 19.4% | 11.8% | 3.3% |
| Macy Rowe | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 16.1% | 32.2% | 30.7% |
| Kira Blumhagen | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 14.2% | 23.3% | 22.9% | 10.2% |
| Althea White | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 22.0% | 54.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 9.2% | 15.1% | 15.7% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.