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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.09+3.01vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50+2.71vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.29-0.89vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.21vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-3.43vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.64-2.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Stanford University3.110.7%1st Place
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3.69University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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6.01University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.71Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.88University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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5.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.57University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 66.7% | 22.9% | 7.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.1% | 20.5% | 21.7% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 10.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Emily Smith | 3.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 17.3% | 17.8% | 13.8% | 0.6% |
| Caroline Hurley | 1.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 15.0% | 18.0% | 24.1% | 2.7% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.5% | 10.5% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 4.4% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 0.3% |
| Florence Duff | 2.4% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 0.9% |
| harriet jessup | 4.7% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 30.6% | 2.2% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 92.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.