Race 1A

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Tamblyn 21.6% 20.5% 15.1% 13.8% 12.0% 8.4% 4.6% 2.9% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Javier Ramos 7.0% 7.4% 7.6% 8.7% 10.8% 8.6% 12.5% 13.8% 12.0% 9.0% 2.6%
Tyler Durant 2.5% 2.8% 2.7% 3.3% 4.1% 5.4% 6.4% 8.4% 13.9% 22.8% 27.7%
Carolyn Naughton 18.1% 15.9% 17.2% 14.3% 11.5% 9.0% 6.7% 4.1% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Ames Lyman 4.5% 6.1% 4.7% 6.6% 7.0% 8.4% 9.6% 11.9% 16.3% 15.1% 9.8%
Margaret Bacon 10.4% 10.5% 10.8% 10.9% 12.9% 10.4% 10.8% 8.8% 8.1% 5.1% 1.3%
Viktor Wettergren 11.8% 9.1% 12.1% 12.0% 9.8% 11.9% 11.7% 10.5% 5.5% 4.0% 1.6%
Bradley Abbott 10.0% 10.2% 11.6% 11.6% 11.1% 11.0% 10.1% 9.8% 8.9% 4.8% 0.9%
Benjmain Berg 4.6% 5.5% 5.9% 5.9% 8.4% 10.2% 11.0% 11.9% 14.5% 13.9% 8.2%
Carolyn Marsh 1.5% 1.6% 1.5% 3.1% 2.6% 3.0% 5.0% 7.1% 10.3% 18.9% 45.4%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.0% 10.4% 10.8% 9.8% 9.8% 13.7% 11.6% 10.8% 8.0% 5.0% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.