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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.73vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University-0.50+3.76vs Predicted
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4University of Washington-0.09+1.94vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-0.64+0.88vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.85vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.40-3.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-4.34vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Stanford University3.110.7%1st Place
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3.73University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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6.76Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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5.94University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.88University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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5.15University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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9.83University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 66.8% | 22.7% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.8% | 19.4% | 21.3% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Hurley | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 20.6% | 26.2% | 2.4% |
| Emily Smith | 1.9% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 12.6% | 0.9% |
| Florence Duff | 4.2% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 15.2% | 16.3% | 14.6% | 10.2% | 0.5% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 13.3% | 17.9% | 31.7% | 2.6% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.2% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 5.6% | 0.6% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 15.4% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 4.9% | 13.7% | 14.1% | 17.1% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.6% | 0.3% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 92.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.