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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.47vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.05vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University-0.50+2.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-0.42vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.25vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.29-1.86vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.09-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.64-2.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-3.72-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.47Stanford University3.110.7%1st Place
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3.66University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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6.7Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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4.58University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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5.75Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.14University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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5.88University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.84University of California at Santa Cruz-3.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 67.2% | 22.3% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.8% | 22.7% | 20.3% | 17.2% | 12.0% | 9.3% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 17.4% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 4.9% | 0.3% |
| Caroline Hurley | 1.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 14.6% | 18.4% | 23.8% | 3.0% |
| harriet jessup | 6.5% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 3.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 16.2% | 12.2% | 0.4% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.3% | 9.1% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 0.3% |
| Emily Smith | 2.5% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 0.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 31.4% | 2.2% |
| Kathryn Lewis | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 92.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.