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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.45vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.95vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.09+0.64vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles0.29+1.07vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-0.48vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.09-0.21vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-1.29vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-1.18-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.64-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.45Stanford University3.110.7%1st Place
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4.95University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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3.64University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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5.07University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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4.52University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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5.71Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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7.74Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 69.2% | 20.5% | 7.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 4.7% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 8.6% | 23.1% | 21.6% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 2.9% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| harriet jessup | 6.3% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Emily Smith | 3.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 10.6% | 2.2% |
| Florence Duff | 2.3% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 8.0% | 2.3% |
| Claire Jablonski | 0.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 35.1% | 16.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 6.6% |
| Lola Rao | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 14.1% | 70.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.