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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Los Angeles0.29+4.03vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11-0.60vs Predicted
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3University of Washington-0.09+2.94vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.09-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-0.46vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University-1.18+1.72vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.40-2.11vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.64-2.15vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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1.4Stanford University3.110.7%1st Place
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5.94University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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3.69University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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4.54University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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7.72Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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5.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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6.85University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.27University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Jane Howland | 5.2% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Freeman | 69.7% | 22.7% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Smith | 2.4% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 19.5% | 16.3% | 10.1% | 2.1% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 7.6% | 22.8% | 20.3% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| harriet jessup | 6.2% | 12.6% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Claire Jablonski | 0.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 32.7% | 18.3% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.4% | 11.3% | 14.7% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 17.0% | 11.8% | 7.4% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Florence Duff | 2.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 1.7% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.4% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 16.0% | 20.9% | 21.7% | 5.8% |
| Lola Rao | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 14.1% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.