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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.09+2.70vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.11-0.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.29+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.64+3.06vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.40-0.03vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-2.32vs Predicted
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8University of Washington-0.09-2.08vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-0.50-2.26vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42-0.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.7University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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1.44Stanford University3.110.7%1st Place
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5.29University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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7.06University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.97University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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5.79Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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4.68University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.74Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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9.39University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vivian Bonsager | 9.9% | 23.2% | 20.5% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Freeman | 68.2% | 22.7% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 3.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 14.2% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 1.3% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.2% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 19.7% | 25.1% | 8.7% |
| Katherine Olsen | 5.0% | 10.3% | 14.3% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Florence Duff | 3.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 12.2% | 2.1% |
| harriet jessup | 4.6% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 17.6% | 17.3% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Smith | 2.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 13.0% | 2.2% |
| Caroline Hurley | 1.7% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 18.2% | 22.5% | 6.6% |
| Lola Rao | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 9.0% | 77.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.