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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.11+0.48vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii1.09+1.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles0.29+2.27vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40+1.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara0.56-0.39vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.18vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.09-1.01vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University-0.50-1.27vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.64-1.99vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42-0.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.48Stanford University3.110.7%1st Place
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3.7University of Hawaii1.090.1%1st Place
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5.27University of California at Los Angeles0.290.0%1st Place
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5.03University of California at Berkeley0.400.0%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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5.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.0%1st Place
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5.99University of Washington-0.090.0%1st Place
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6.73Western Washington University-0.500.0%1st Place
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7.01University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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9.38University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Freeman | 67.0% | 22.3% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Vivian Bonsager | 10.0% | 21.8% | 20.3% | 17.0% | 12.4% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 4.3% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 3.0% | 11.3% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 5.3% | 1.0% |
| harriet jessup | 6.6% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 18.4% | 16.8% | 12.1% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Florence Duff | 3.5% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% |
| Emily Smith | 2.2% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 16.1% | 12.0% | 3.3% |
| Caroline Hurley | 1.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 23.4% | 6.1% |
| Amanda Brooks | 1.3% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 18.1% | 26.6% | 8.2% |
| Lola Rao | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 9.7% | 76.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.