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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.91+1.19vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii0.87+1.80vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.48vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.40+0.73vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University-1.18+2.61vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.46vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.64-0.19vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.29-3.13vs Predicted
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9University of Washington-0.09-3.31vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42-0.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.19Stanford University1.910.4%1st Place
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3.8University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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4.48University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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4.73University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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7.61Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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5.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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6.81University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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4.87University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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5.69University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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9.29University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Austin | 42.4% | 26.7% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Lahr | 14.4% | 16.0% | 19.2% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| harriet jessup | 11.0% | 11.0% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 16.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Katherine Olsen | 7.1% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Claire Jablonski | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 36.2% | 15.6% |
| Florence Duff | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 14.6% | 9.2% | 1.8% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 21.9% | 20.8% | 6.1% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 7.9% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 13.7% | 9.8% | 4.5% | 0.7% |
| Emily Smith | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 9.6% | 2.5% |
| Lola Rao | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 12.0% | 72.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.