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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University1.91+1.22vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley0.40+2.75vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara0.56+1.43vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii0.87-0.22vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.53vs Predicted
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6University of Washington-0.09-0.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.29-2.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.64-1.25vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University-1.18-1.25vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz-2.42-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Stanford University1.910.4%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Berkeley0.400.1%1st Place
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4.43University of California at Santa Barbara0.560.1%1st Place
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3.78University of Hawaii0.870.1%1st Place
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5.53Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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5.64University of Washington-0.090.1%1st Place
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4.89University of California at Los Angeles0.290.1%1st Place
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6.75University of California at San Diego-0.640.0%1st Place
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7.75Western Washington University-1.180.0%1st Place
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9.24University of California at Santa Cruz-2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Austin | 41.7% | 26.2% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Olsen | 9.1% | 9.5% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 0.6% |
| harriet jessup | 10.5% | 13.1% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 6.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Hayden Lahr | 13.2% | 18.8% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Florence Duff | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 16.3% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| Emily Smith | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 2.0% |
| Mary Jane Howland | 7.3% | 9.0% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Brooks | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 21.6% | 21.1% | 6.4% |
| Claire Jablonski | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 11.3% | 15.1% | 34.8% | 17.3% |
| Lola Rao | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 14.1% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.