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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.48+6.30vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.97+1.62vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.28+1.37vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.92+1.25vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12-0.39vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College1.62-0.15vs Predicted
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8Bentley University0.92+0.21vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.15-5.80vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.32-4.82vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.25-5.83vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.36-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Harvard University1.480.0%1st Place
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3.62Boston College2.970.2%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University2.280.1%1st Place
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6.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.920.1%1st Place
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5.61Boston University2.120.1%1st Place
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6.85Bowdoin College1.620.0%1st Place
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8.21Bentley University0.920.0%1st Place
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3.2Roger Williams University3.150.2%1st Place
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5.18Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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5.17University of Vermont2.250.1%1st Place
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9.26Northeastern University0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ames Lyman | 3.2% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 9.2% |
| Carolyn Naughton | 20.2% | 17.9% | 16.3% | 13.1% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Viktor Wettergren | 8.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Javier Ramos | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 3.8% |
| Alejandro Bancalari | 8.6% | 7.4% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Benjmain Berg | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 13.0% | 8.5% |
| Tyler Durant | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 23.0% | 23.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 24.5% | 22.2% | 15.6% | 13.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 8.5% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Abbott | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Carolyn Marsh | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 18.2% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.