Race 3A

central-series-4

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ames Lyman 3.0% 4.0% 5.6% 5.0% 7.8% 8.8% 9.9% 13.5% 18.1% 15.3% 9.0%
Tyler Durant 3.0% 2.3% 2.3% 3.9% 5.0% 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 12.8% 24.9% 23.8%
Andrew Tamblyn 21.0% 20.4% 16.1% 14.0% 11.1% 7.0% 5.5% 3.0% 1.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Carolyn Naughton 18.6% 16.5% 16.8% 13.6% 11.8% 9.1% 6.3% 3.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Javier Ramos 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 9.4% 9.3% 10.7% 12.2% 11.0% 11.5% 9.4% 4.6%
Alejandro Bancalari 8.2% 9.9% 9.4% 9.8% 9.3% 12.5% 11.8% 10.5% 8.6% 7.7% 2.3%
Benjmain Berg 6.3% 5.3% 7.6% 7.0% 8.5% 9.3% 10.4% 11.8% 15.1% 11.4% 7.3%
Carolyn Marsh 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 4.6% 8.2% 9.0% 16.7% 48.6%
Margaret Bacon 9.7% 10.7% 11.4% 11.1% 12.4% 11.1% 10.7% 9.6% 7.8% 4.4% 1.1%
Viktor Wettergren 12.2% 10.1% 10.5% 12.3% 10.9% 9.8% 10.2% 11.9% 6.7% 4.2% 1.2%
Bradley Abbott 9.3% 11.7% 11.4% 11.8% 11.1% 11.6% 11.1% 9.0% 6.5% 4.9% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.