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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+3.22vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+1.54vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech0.59+4.07vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.11+1.80vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.71-0.67vs Predicted
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6Princeton University2.35-2.93vs Predicted
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70.91-0.86vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.21-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.83vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-2.93vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-2.30vs Predicted
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12Syracuse University-0.40-2.81vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-2.10vs Predicted
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14American University-1.97-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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3.54Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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7.07Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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5.8Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.33Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.07Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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6.140.910.1%1st Place
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7.87William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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7.07Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.7SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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9.19Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
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10.9Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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12.0American University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 14.1% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.5% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 14.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Brandl | 13.6% | 14.5% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 25.6% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 2.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 8.2% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 18.0% | 15.9% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 13.7% | 33.1% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 7.7% | 20.3% | 60.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.