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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College2.11+2.56vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University1.11+3.79vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+0.11vs Predicted
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4Hampton University1.77+0.24vs Predicted
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5Columbia University1.71-0.70vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59+0.99vs Predicted
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70.91-0.89vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.21-0.13vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh0.14-0.86vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-3.01vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-2.32vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-1.24vs Predicted
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13Syracuse University-0.40-3.59vs Predicted
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14American University-1.97-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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5.79Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.11Princeton University2.350.2%1st Place
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4.24Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.3Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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6.99Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.110.910.1%1st Place
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7.87William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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6.99Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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10.76Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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9.41Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.04American University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.2% | 18.1% | 15.8% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 24.5% | 22.5% | 17.3% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 13.8% | 13.1% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Brandl | 14.0% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 2.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 15.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 17.8% | 30.0% | 21.8% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 10.8% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 19.1% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.4% | 17.4% | 63.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.