← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Columbia University1.71+3.35vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University1.77+2.20vs Predicted
-
3Virginia Tech0.59+4.05vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech0.59+3.05vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University1.11+0.81vs Predicted
-
6William and Mary0.21+1.88vs Predicted
-
70.91-0.83vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University2.35-4.97vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.29vs Predicted
-
10Washington College2.11-6.42vs Predicted
-
11University of Pittsburgh0.14-2.91vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University-0.40-2.77vs Predicted
-
13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-2.09vs Predicted
-
14American University-1.97-2.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.35Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
-
4.2Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
-
7.05Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
7.05Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
5.81Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
-
7.88William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
-
6.170.910.1%1st Place
-
3.03Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
-
8.71SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
-
3.58Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
-
8.09University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
-
9.23Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
-
10.91Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.99American University-1.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leopold Brandl | 12.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 12.3% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 14.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 14.5% | 12.9% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 12.0% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 7.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 26.3% | 21.3% | 18.2% | 12.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 16.4% | 12.6% | 3.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 19.7% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 12.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 16.4% | 18.3% | 16.3% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 14.3% | 31.8% | 26.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 8.1% | 19.7% | 60.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.