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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+4.79vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.11+1.55vs Predicted
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3Columbia University1.71+1.36vs Predicted
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4Princeton University2.35-0.92vs Predicted
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5Hampton University1.77-0.82vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook-0.12+2.68vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.59-0.05vs Predicted
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80.91-1.82vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.21-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.93vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.40-1.77vs Predicted
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12Virginia Tech0.59-5.05vs Predicted
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13American University-1.97-1.02vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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3.55Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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4.36Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.08Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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4.18Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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8.68SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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6.95Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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6.180.910.1%1st Place
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7.99William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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8.07University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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9.23Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.95Virginia Tech0.590.1%1st Place
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11.98American University-1.970.0%1st Place
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10.95Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 19.7% | 18.5% | 16.4% | 15.4% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Brandl | 11.5% | 15.7% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 26.2% | 19.8% | 18.2% | 12.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 15.4% | 13.8% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 17.4% | 11.6% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 15.6% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 6.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 19.2% | 60.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 14.9% | 32.7% | 25.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.