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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University1.11+4.78vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.71+2.37vs Predicted
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3Washington College2.11+0.56vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.59+3.03vs Predicted
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5Princeton University2.35-1.91vs Predicted
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6University of Pittsburgh0.14+2.04vs Predicted
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7Hampton University1.77-2.81vs Predicted
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8William and Mary0.21-0.12vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.24vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59-2.97vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.40-1.71vs Predicted
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120.91-5.93vs Predicted
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13American University-1.97-1.00vs Predicted
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14Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
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4.37Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.56Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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7.03Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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3.09Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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8.04University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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4.19Hampton University1.770.2%1st Place
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7.88William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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8.76SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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7.03Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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9.29Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.070.910.1%1st Place
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12.0American University-1.970.0%1st Place
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10.94Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Hodges | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Brandl | 13.1% | 13.1% | 15.7% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 19.2% | 19.3% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 12.1% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 26.6% | 19.8% | 16.4% | 14.9% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 7.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Valerio Palamara | 15.8% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 10.5% | 12.6% | 16.5% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 15.2% | 18.4% | 17.9% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 18.5% | 60.9% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 15.7% | 31.8% | 24.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.