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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University1.77+3.23vs Predicted
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2Columbia University1.71+2.37vs Predicted
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3Princeton University2.35+0.10vs Predicted
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4William and Mary0.21+3.96vs Predicted
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5Washington College2.11-1.47vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59+0.95vs Predicted
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70.91-0.86vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech0.59-1.05vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook-0.12-0.37vs Predicted
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10University of Pittsburgh0.14-1.86vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-0.40-1.71vs Predicted
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12American University-1.97-0.06vs Predicted
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13Rochester Institute of Technology-1.17-2.11vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University1.11-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.23Hampton University1.770.1%1st Place
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4.37Columbia University1.710.1%1st Place
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3.1Princeton University2.350.3%1st Place
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7.96William and Mary0.210.0%1st Place
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3.53Washington College2.110.2%1st Place
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6.95Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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6.140.910.1%1st Place
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6.95Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.120.0%1st Place
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8.14University of Pittsburgh0.140.0%1st Place
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9.29Syracuse University-0.400.0%1st Place
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11.94American University-1.970.0%1st Place
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10.89Rochester Institute of Technology-1.170.0%1st Place
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5.84Christopher Newport University1.110.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valerio Palamara | 13.9% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leopold Brandl | 12.7% | 14.8% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Mraz | 25.4% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Constantyn van der Voort | 2.7% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 7.4% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Stewart Gurnell | 20.6% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 7.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kristin Hess | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 18.2% | 10.2% | 3.4% | 0.0% |
| Stanley Galloway | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 8.8% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| Alec Wyers | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 15.8% | 16.9% | 17.6% | 8.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Blair | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 19.3% | 58.4% | 0.0% |
| Elliot Tindall | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 15.7% | 30.9% | 25.5% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.